lunes, 23 de marzo de 2020

Total paradigm shift to defeat coronavirus

The two basic national strategies against COVID - 19 have been pointed out: one of suppression, as has been done in China, South Korea and Russia, and the other of containment, applied by most of the other countries, as a strategy of suppression. half.
The Wuhan - Hebei Model against COVID - 19 implies:
• Total social isolation
• Universal tests by COVID - 19
• Universal public health system, especially emergency care
The consequences of not applying the model of total COVID suppression will be dramatic in the short term, as shown by the projections of the expert Tomas Pueyo.(See ilustration)
In almost all the countries of South America, the first step has only been half fulfilled, with the hope of avoiding the worst scenario, that the situation does not overflow into the small hospital facilities, product of the gigantic disinvestment in health (see last post)
Globally, as pointed out in a recent video conference by Helga Zepp, of the Schiller Institute, the world's largest anti-malthusian  humanist and developmental think tank, in addition to the temporary closure and reorganization of international financial markets, we globally require:
• 35 million hospital´s beds in the world
• Increase the supply of drinking water by 40%
• Increase of electrical energy in 358 new gigawatts worldwide
This cannot be achieved without world economic cooperation, with the aggravating circumstance that we are facing the worst global financial crisis, which will lead to a recession that will accelerate the collapse of human health. Since 1974, Lyndon LaRouche has focused on the relationship between monetarist austerity and the emergence of pandemics at the global level, which is proven once again.
This means a total change of paradigms, abandoning both geopolitics and monetarist recipes that will prevent financing everything that is needed worldwide and within each country.
If we put Peru as an analysis case, can the deficit of US $ 19 billion in health be overcome in the short term only with current economic policies? How many COVID 19 tests are being purchased? How many new hospitals are to be built?
As the former President of Ecuador, Rafael Correa, has just pointed out, the emergency measures include, in addition to sanitary measures, bringing food aid to the population, (such as Comedores Populares, Vaso de Leche and Clubes de madres, but sanitized); and if the budget is not enough, the payment of the external debt can be suspended.
Meanwhile, international cooperation, prominently including China and Russia, is vital.
23/03/20

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