It is no surprise to blog readers (see posts 01-02-03);
However, if it is that the energy regulator itself, OSINERGMIN, through its
president Daniel Schmerler, recognizes that in a few months the electricity
demand will exceed the supply. According to the interview with Gestión
(21.1.20), Schmerler confirms several facts already announced by the blog:
II. That the offer has
been contracted, while the electric transmission projects (even less, of
hydroelectric plants) have not been carried out, nor the electrical interconnection
with Ecuador, for example, surplus in energy thanks to the hydroelectric plants
financed by China. Likewise, gas pipeline projects to use the abundant natural
gas in electricity generation have stopped completely, with the practical
abandonment of the Peruvian Southern Gas Pipeline.
III. The intricate electric tariff
system is favoring the thermoelectric deficiencies (which burn diesel oil,
especially) against the more efficient hydroelectric generation companies.
IV. The tariffs are including
taxpayer subsidies for especially non-conventional renewable energy projects,
the so called RER premium, although they do not compete with traditional energy, that is,
wind and solar, discarding hydroelectric power plants from public investment.
Incoherently, the official reaffirms the policy of promoting
not very efficient hydroelectric plants, and whether wind, geothermal and solar
energy (RER), intermittent and low energy flow density.
Fortunately, private hydroelectric projects (such as those
of China
Three Gorges in Peru) are so efficient that even without subsidies they are
profitable. Even if it is not known if they will be executed in a timely
manner.
01/23/20